Model-based Robust Synthesis era
In the mid-2000s the scenario approach to robust optimization, championed by Riccardo Calafiore and Massimo Campi, offered tractable finite-sample programs with probabilistic guarantees for uncertain systems. Avner Ben-Tal and Arkadi Nemirovski laid the robust optimization foundations, showing how worst-case uncertainty can be embedded in convex reformulations that support model-based design. Kennedy and O'Hagan advanced surrogate modeling and multi-fidelity design, introducing Bayesian emulation to propagate system-level objectives into subsystems while managing computational cost. Dimitri P. Bertsekas and Stephen Boyd helped translate these ideas into deployable engineering practice through scalable, hierarchical optimization frameworks and robust control concepts.